This watchlist is what I call the three S’s which stands for Soups, Soaps and Serials. They are stocks that tend to do well during down times in the economy. They represent products that households value and require as basic necessities.
There are many ways to make money in resource investing, extremes in cycles and employing leverage are paramount, however your ability to take full advantage of the asymmetric strategy (small risk versus huge reward) is predicated on using the right type of asset. Several members have asked me about ETFs, or a specific sector index,[…]
The follow criteria is specific, unlike the cliche that tells you wait for blood in the streets. And while the metaphor has weight, because it’s correct, how do we spot the blood in real life? Is it actual blood? Of course not. So, here are the things you need to look for. Criteria 1: People[…]
If you want to build tour wealth, you need to take profits. The hard part to figure, is just that…where do I take profits? Unless you take profits, you ain’t gonna get rich. So, since we hope that our speculative plays turn into long-term investments, and most of them will return multiples on the original[…]
When it comes to investing I believe in a few things, you might call them rules, I would call them guidelines. When you say rules, that implies a lack of flexibility. I want to be flexible because things can change so much that having rigid rules will get you in trouble. Instead I operate by[…]
The resource sector, which includes energy and commodities, is a volatile place. The average standard deviation of the energy sector over the years is north of 20 percent, and commodities isn’t far behind at nearly 19 percent. This is far and above other sectors. And this year that level of volatility will totally eclipse the[…]
This service is about investing and speculating in natural resources. However we do this in the context of the ideal portfolio. And that portfolio is based on a recession-proof model made popular by Artemis Capital and Chris Cole, it’s called the Dragon Portfolio. He published a paper called The Allegory of the Hawk and Serpent[…]
Most traders and investors think they must be constantly in pursuit of alpha, they are the pursuit predator, more trades mean more profit. They are willing to take lesser odds so long as they can make incremental profits., Take small risks, with mediocre strategies, and make small profits, and just keep that going like a[…]