Author Archives: dude

How to Select The Best Asset Type

There are many ways to make money in resource investing, extremes in cycles and employing leverage are paramount, however your ability to take full advantage of the asymmetric strategy (small risk versus huge reward) is predicated on using the right type of asset. Several members have asked me about ETFs, or a specific sector index,[…]

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What Happens in a Simultaneous Supply and Demand Shock?

The COVID-19 pandemic has created a unique situation on the world economy Manufacturing all over has shutdown. Global supply chains have virtually collapsed. The pandemic has smashed the world capacity to produce. But the virus has also forced entire nations to institute lockdowns and stay at home orders that prevents people from buying stuff. Other[…]

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What Will Come First Gold $2000 or $1400?

The markets are surging, gold is trying to break through resistance and COVID-19 is threatening our way of life. Perhaps that order should be reversed. Who ever would have thought that we would experience a V recovery? We can’t claim that yet, however the stock market is a forward looking system, and the collective consciousness[…]

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Return Original Investment Calculation – The Roy Calc

If you want to build tour wealth, you need to take profits. The hard part to figure, is just that…where do I take profits? Unless you take profits, you ain’t gonna get rich. So, since we hope that our speculative plays turn into long-term investments, and most of them will return multiples on the original[…]

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It’s a Miracle?

Dr. Robert Redfield, the Director of the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) said, …the numbers are going to be much, much, much lower than would have been predicted by the models. This statement last night just hours after the Trump virus team were predicting horrific numbers of dead from complications from the CCP CoronaVirus, from[…]

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AA Investing Methodology

The resource sector, which includes energy and commodities, is a volatile place. The average standard deviation of the energy sector over the years is north of 20 percent, and commodities isn’t far behind at nearly 19 percent. This is far and above other sectors. And this year that level of volatility will totally eclipse the[…]

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The Big Idea – Portfolio Framework

This service is about investing and speculating in natural resources. However we do this in the context of the ideal portfolio. And that portfolio is based on a recession-proof model made popular by Artemis Capital and Chris Cole, it’s called the Dragon Portfolio. He published a paper called The Allegory of the Hawk and Serpent[…]

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